By Tim Tender on March 1st, 2010 at 1:31 PM
It started last weekend when I came in to the Severe Weather Center and had a phone message from a lady asking about a storm on March 7th. (Keep in mind, this was February 20th!) I didn’t hear much about it again through the week until Saturday and Sunday when people started to ask me about it again.
Where is this all coming from? Really, it stems from one guy… Lester Moyer.
I’m not going to speak ill of the guy because I don’t know him.
Here’s what I do know after reading several articles about him…
1) He bases his forecast on the sky, wind patterns, and moon cycles.
2) He did, apparently, accurately predict that there was going to be two storms in February.
3) He predicted below-average precipitation and above-average temperatures through the winter.
4) He claims to be right 85-95% of the time.
5) He’s predicting a monumental storm for March 7th.
Let’s examine the above one-by-one…
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By Tony Martin on February 25th, 2010 at 9:37 PM
Everything is pretty much still on track tonight, as low pressure continues to move in an unorthodox way into New England.
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By Tony Martin on February 24th, 2010 at 11:06 PM
Here’s an initial look at the snowfall potential across the area. Keep in mind, this map covers snowfall over a period from Thursday afternoon through Friday night. More snow is expected in the Laurel Highlands on Saturday.
A few selected areas(through Saturday afternoon): Johnstown 12 to 15″, Altoona 4 to 6″, State College [...]
By Tony Martin on February 23rd, 2010 at 10:10 PM
There’s still a few differences in “model land” with regard to timing and placement of low pressure, but there’s enough agreement now to make some first guesses.
There’s a tremendous amount of moisture and lift moving westward into the state from Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning. The heaviest snow (over 8 inches)Â will be [...]
By Tony Martin on February 15th, 2010 at 11:10 PM
Our Presidents’ Day snowstorm wasn’t a huge storm, but the snow did come down hard at times. Many of us have received 2 to 4 inches through late Monday evening. Accumulating snow will continue through early Tuesday morning in Centre and Cameron counties, with another 1 to 2 inches likely. West and southwest of there is where the bigger snow totals will show up.
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By Tim Tender on February 15th, 2010 at 10:43 AM
I know this is a little out of our viewing area, but a lot of these events impacted the Alleghenies, too.
NWS in Pittsburgh has listed the top 10 weather events for 2000 through 2009. I have to agree with the biggest weather event, as it was a major disaster in my hometown, as well. The only good that came from all the flooding is the fact that we ended up getting a McDonald’s in our little town.
Here’s half the list… To read more, click the link at the end to be taken to the NWS page.
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By Tim Tender on February 14th, 2010 at 9:16 PM
Pennsylvania – check
Alabama – check
Kansas – check
Colorado – check
Oregon – check
Arizona – check
Hawaii… … … – yup, check!
On February 12th (Friday), it was confirmed that all 50 states had at least some snow on the ground. This is a remarkable event and statisticians aren’t sure if this has happened before (in recorded history).
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By Tim Tender on February 14th, 2010 at 9:06 PM
Hey everyone. Here’s a quick update about the snow coming for Monday and Tuesday…
Read on for when to expect the snow and for a snow map of how much to expect in your backyard.
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By Tim Tender on February 10th, 2010 at 12:19 PM
Here’s a quick update about the Blizzard Warning.Â
…BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING… …WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LOW PRESSURE [...]
By Tony Martin on February 8th, 2010 at 10:07 PM
Another day, another winter storm for the Alleghenies. This beast won’t be as intense as the last, but we’re still going to get a significant snowfall from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night.
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By Tim Tender on February 7th, 2010 at 10:40 PM
A storm on February 5th and 6th dropped 2 to 3 feet of snow in areas across the Alleghenies. Traffic came to a standstill but it allowed people to get out with their cameras. Lucky for us, they sent some in to us.
Click the link for a gallery of 40 pictures we’ve uploaded [...]
By Tim Tender on February 7th, 2010 at 10:37 PM
I’m hoping to post some pictures and a little more Monday, but here’s something to whet your appetite until then. These are the NWS official snow totals from their Public Information Statement.  They are arranged by county with the highest snow totals listed first. (Remember, these are official numbers. For a list of all reported snowfall totals to the Severe Weather Team Blog, click into the Snow Totals post)
Click into this post to see the NWS numbers…
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By Tony Martin on February 5th, 2010 at 9:19 PM
Our current winter storm continues to track further north with each passing model run. The center of low pressure is now expected to reach a little further north on the Virgina coastline. This will push the heavy snows further north as well.
The 10″ line will run from Marion Center to Mahaffey to Warriors [...]
By Tony Martin on February 4th, 2010 at 10:41 PM
It’s just about here, so that means it’s time to take a stab at some snow totals. First though, we still have some disagreement amongst the models tonight. The difference lies in the handling of a trough of low pressure in the Canadian Maritimes. The further south this feature is, the lighter the snow will be. Right now, the consensus leads me to a very snowy forecast for areas south of I-80.
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By Tim Tender on February 4th, 2010 at 4:35 PM
We need your help, Alleghenies. We need you to leave a comment on this post with your snow totals, your name, and where you measured. Take a look inside this post for how to measure snow effectively.
You can also share them with us via Twitter. Just send a reply to @wjac_weather.
Thanks in advance for all your help. We’ll keep you updated through the storm.
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By Tony Martin on February 3rd, 2010 at 10:15 PM
Well, here we are – two days away from our storm. And there’s still many questions about the outcome, but some have been answered.
First of all, this will be very similar to the storm we had on December 19th. That’s not to say the “same”, but similar. We have a similar storm track, [...]
By Tony Martin on February 1st, 2010 at 10:07 PM
At this point, it’s just that. A potential.
Global computer modelling ranges from a deep snowstorm up into the middle of Pennsylvania, to a light accumulation south of Route 22. What is different from this past weekend’s storm is that we don’t have a pressing, arctic airmass in place. That helped to force the [...]
By Tony Martin on January 27th, 2010 at 9:52 PM
There’s been some talk this week about a snowstorm for the weekend. Well, that’s all but been canceled.
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By Tony Martin on January 25th, 2010 at 9:31 PM
Low pressure moved to our west on Sunday, drawing up plenty of mild and moist air. Another area of low pressure formed along the coast last night and enhanced our rainfall across the Alleghenies. Many of the smaller streams and creeks across the Northern Alleghenies came out of their banks, resulting in minor flooding. [...]
By Tony Martin on January 20th, 2010 at 10:47 PM
The latest short-range model guidance continues to shift this storm to our south, taking most of the precipitation with it. It looks like areas south of route 22 and west of route 522 will see the most, with locations getting all snow picking up 3 to 4 inches.
That’s the other tricky part of [...]
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