By Tim Tender on March 1st, 2011 at 3:52 PM
 Are you the winner?
It’s now time for the moment you have all been waiting for… THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE WINNERS OF THE SNOW PREDICTION CONTEST!
The contest is now over and we’ve checked and double-checked the totals. Here are the winners of the snow prediction contest.
If your name is listed below, expect a call from us sometime in the near future… (Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 21st, 2011 at 9:02 AM
I love the fact that people are blaming Punxsutawney Phil for the double-dose of winter weather that’s moving into the Alleghenies tonight and again tomorrow night. As expected, we’re not quite done with winter just yet.
Here’s a breakdown of what to expect over the next couple of days:
Sunday Night: Warmer air will try to infiltrate the area from the south. Our northern tier counties will likely stay as snow while the counties south of I-80 will likely see a mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and even rain farther south. This will taper overnight. – CHECK – There was 3 to 4 inches of slushy snow in Centre County this morning with 7 inches in Ridgway!
Monday: Expect periods of mixed showers with areas north seeing the best bet for snow and the areas south seeing the best chance for rain. In between, anything that falls could be rain or snow.
Monday Evening: The next round of heavier precip moves in and will likely bring more snow than anything else. At this point (Sunday night), it looks like the divider line between snow and mix could be around Route 22. That could change. Areas north of that could see a significant snowfall. Areas south will likely see the mix change to snow with some ice mixed in. This would keep accumulations lower there. Update: This may not have been completely clear. I didn’t mention it but the snow will not be as heavy north of I-80. This is the part of the forecast with the most uncertainty. (Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 7th, 2011 at 10:30 AM
 Snow Through Tuesday Afternoon
Hey everyone! Happy Super Sunday to you!
Our next weather event looks to come in sometime on Monday morning and get out of here by Tuesday afternoon. In its wake, we’ll see some light snow accumulations AFTER seeing a mix of rain and snow on Monday.
Here’s the fairly simple timeline:
Monday
AM: Light snow arrives. With temperatures still on the chilly side, it’ll likely start as snow.
Noon: Temperatures start to warm up and with temps in the mid 30s, we’ll start to see some rain mixing in with the light snow. This will continue through the afternoon. Don’t expect much in the way of accumulations with temperatures close to the freezing mark and rain mixing in.
Evening: The changeover back to snow will happen sometime later in the afternoon or into the evening. This is when the accumulations will start.
Tuesday
Overnight: The snow will continue with accumulations building into the morning. The snow will be relatively light and so will the accumulations.
Morning: Scattered snow showers will continue. We’ll also see a rapid drop in temperature and winds picking up. Wind chills will be rather cold.
Noon: The snow should taper off pretty quickly with just lingering flurries into the afternoon. It stays windy and cold for the afternoon.
Click in for a look at the Futurecast snowfall totals map… (Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 5th, 2011 at 8:41 PM
I just figured I’d post a couple of links to help you pass the time until the next Snowpocalypse. This is some of the information and some of the pictures from last year’s storm. It’s been exactly one year since we had to shovel out!
The storm was big enough that I had to [...]
By Tim Tender on February 3rd, 2011 at 10:08 AM
 Futurecast - Tuesday Morning
Numbers have been crunched and models have been perused and now it’s time to come up with a forecast for this messy storm coming from the south just in time for the middle of the week.
We’ve been talking about this one for a few days now and the forecast is beginning to become clearer… at least not as murky!
Let’s put this into a timeline form because it’ll make it easier to understand and follow. I’ll also be noting the north and south a lot because this storm looks like a different beast for both locations. For simplicity’s sake, let’s say the boundary line is I-80. That line is very flexible, however and can shift either north or south with later model runs. (Read More)
By Tim Tender on January 27th, 2011 at 10:07 AM
 The clothesline is drooping. This was a wet, heavy snow.
Another storm is in the books for the region and this one packed a punch in a place that doesn’t normally get a lot of snow… our southeast portion of the viewing area. Areas like Bedford and Fulton Counties picked up a boatload of snow and now the clean-up begins. Again, we’re lucky because this could have been a lot worse with a shift a little farther to the west.
Take a look at this picture on the right side of the post. It shows you how this snow was different than most of the other snows we’ve seen this season. Notice the clothesline is being weighed down by the snow? This snow wasn’t the fluffy, blowing snow. It was more of a wet, heavy snow. This kind of snow seems to cause more problems on the roads because it is slushy and grimy. If you like to build snowmen or throw snowballs, this is the perfect snow for that. If you watched the 6 PM news, you saw that in my live shot.
The snow tapered off early in the evening and left some impressive totals across the southeastern portion of the viewing area. Here’s a list of some of those totals, including our reports and those of the National Weather Service. (Read More)
By Tim Tender on January 14th, 2011 at 5:34 AM
It’s funny how a storm prediction can go so well and so wrong all at the same time. The most recent storm did just that. We had the snow totals for the initial, widespread batch of snow right on the money. Check out these totals from across the region for the first round of snow…
 Snow Totals from Round 1
Our initial prediction was for between 2 to 5 inches or 3 to 6 inches depending on when you watched. For the most part, we were right on with that. (Read More)
By Tim Tender on December 12th, 2010 at 1:17 PM
I know we should be focused on the winter storm here right now, but I’m off and wanted to share this with you. It’s incredible video of the roof of the Metrodome collapsing due to heavy snow. Check out the video:
I want to throw out props to @FSMikey on Twitter. That’s where [...]
By Tim Tender on March 1st, 2010 at 1:31 PM
It started last weekend when I came in to the Severe Weather Center and had a phone message from a lady asking about a storm on March 7th. (Keep in mind, this was February 20th!) I didn’t hear much about it again through the week until Saturday and Sunday when people started to ask me about it again.
Where is this all coming from? Really, it stems from one guy… Lester Moyer.
I’m not going to speak ill of the guy because I don’t know him.
Here’s what I do know after reading several articles about him…
1) He bases his forecast on the sky, wind patterns, and moon cycles.
2) He did, apparently, accurately predict that there was going to be two storms in February.
3) He predicted below-average precipitation and above-average temperatures through the winter.
4) He claims to be right 85-95% of the time.
5) He’s predicting a monumental storm for March 7th.
Let’s examine the above one-by-one…
(Read More)
By Tony Martin on February 25th, 2010 at 9:37 PM
Everything is pretty much still on track tonight, as low pressure continues to move in an unorthodox way into New England.
(Read More)
By Tony Martin on February 24th, 2010 at 11:06 PM
Here’s an initial look at the snowfall potential across the area. Keep in mind, this map covers snowfall over a period from Thursday afternoon through Friday night. More snow is expected in the Laurel Highlands on Saturday.
A few selected areas(through Saturday afternoon): Johnstown 12 to 15″, Altoona 4 to 6″, State College [...]
By Tony Martin on February 23rd, 2010 at 10:10 PM
There’s still a few differences in “model land” with regard to timing and placement of low pressure, but there’s enough agreement now to make some first guesses.
There’s a tremendous amount of moisture and lift moving westward into the state from Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning. The heaviest snow (over 8 inches)Â will be [...]
By Tony Martin on February 15th, 2010 at 11:10 PM
Our Presidents’ Day snowstorm wasn’t a huge storm, but the snow did come down hard at times. Many of us have received 2 to 4 inches through late Monday evening. Accumulating snow will continue through early Tuesday morning in Centre and Cameron counties, with another 1 to 2 inches likely. West and southwest of there is where the bigger snow totals will show up.
(Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 15th, 2010 at 10:43 AM
I know this is a little out of our viewing area, but a lot of these events impacted the Alleghenies, too.
NWS in Pittsburgh has listed the top 10 weather events for 2000 through 2009. I have to agree with the biggest weather event, as it was a major disaster in my hometown, as well. The only good that came from all the flooding is the fact that we ended up getting a McDonald’s in our little town.
Here’s half the list… To read more, click the link at the end to be taken to the NWS page.
(Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 14th, 2010 at 9:16 PM
Pennsylvania – check
Alabama – check
Kansas – check
Colorado – check
Oregon – check
Arizona – check
Hawaii… … … – yup, check!
On February 12th (Friday), it was confirmed that all 50 states had at least some snow on the ground. This is a remarkable event and statisticians aren’t sure if this has happened before (in recorded history).
(Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 14th, 2010 at 9:06 PM
Hey everyone. Here’s a quick update about the snow coming for Monday and Tuesday…
Read on for when to expect the snow and for a snow map of how much to expect in your backyard.
(Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 10th, 2010 at 12:19 PM
Here’s a quick update about the Blizzard Warning.Â
…BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING… …WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
LOW PRESSURE [...]
By Tony Martin on February 8th, 2010 at 10:07 PM
Another day, another winter storm for the Alleghenies. This beast won’t be as intense as the last, but we’re still going to get a significant snowfall from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night.
(Read More)
By Tim Tender on February 7th, 2010 at 10:40 PM
A storm on February 5th and 6th dropped 2 to 3 feet of snow in areas across the Alleghenies. Traffic came to a standstill but it allowed people to get out with their cameras. Lucky for us, they sent some in to us.
Click the link for a gallery of 40 pictures we’ve uploaded [...]
By Tim Tender on February 7th, 2010 at 10:37 PM
I’m hoping to post some pictures and a little more Monday, but here’s something to whet your appetite until then. These are the NWS official snow totals from their Public Information Statement.  They are arranged by county with the highest snow totals listed first. (Remember, these are official numbers. For a list of all reported snowfall totals to the Severe Weather Team Blog, click into the Snow Totals post)
Click into this post to see the NWS numbers…
(Read More)
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